Bureau Of Meteorology's 2025 Autumn Long-Range Forecast

BOM

The Bureau of Meteorology has released its long-range forecast for autumn 2025.

While autumn is often a time for cooler weather to begin, this season is very likely to be warmer than average across Australia and summer heat may persist into early autumn.

Rainfall is likely to be in the typical range for the season for most of Australia.

However, for parts of the far north-west of the country there is a chance of above average rainfall.

It's also likely to be drier than usual for most of Queensland except for southern and south-east areas.

Tropical cyclones, tropical lows, storms and active monsoon bursts are still possible in the north over the coming months, which can bring particularly heavy rain.

The Australasian Fire and Emergency Services Authorities Council (AFAC) has identified areas with an increased risk of fire this season for southern areas of Victoria, Western Australia and South Australia.

The Bureau updates the long-range forecast often and you can search the latest details for your location on the Bureau's website, visit: Long-range forecasts and climate monitoring, Bureau of Meteorology

2025 Autumn long-range forecast (states and territories)

New South Wales and the ACT

Most of NSW (including the ACT) is likely to have rainfall in the typical range for autumn.

Average autumn rainfall in recent decades has been between 100 and 400 mm along most of eastern NSW, while western and central NSW have between 25 and 100 mm, and up to 600 mm in parts of the north coast.

Warmer than usual autumn temperatures are very likely across the state.

Victoria

Most of Victoria is likely to have rainfall in the typical range for autumn.

Average autumn rainfall in recent decades ranges between 50 mm in the state's north-west and up to 300 mm in eastern and alpine areas

Warmer than usual autumn temperatures are very likely across the state.

Queensland

Autumn is likely to be drier than usual for most of Queensland except for southern and south-east areas.

The southern most quarter of the state is likely to have rainfall in the typical range for autumn.

Average autumn rainfall in recent decades has been between 200 and 1,200 mm along most of the state's east, while western and central Queensland have between 25 and 200 mm.

Warmer than usual autumn temperatures are likely across the state.

Western Australia

Most of Western Australia is likely to have rainfall in the typical range for autumn.

There's an increased chance of above average rainfall this autumn for parts of the northern Kimberley.

Average autumn rainfall in recent decades has been between 50 and 300 mm for most of the South West Land Division, between 50 and 200 mm mid-state, and up to 400 mm in the far north.

Warmer than usual autumn temperatures are likely across the state.

South Australia

Most of South Australia is likely to have rainfall in the typical range for autumn.

Average autumn rainfall in recent decades has been between 50 and 200 mm for urban and agricultural areas, and 10 to 50 mm for the pastoral districts.

Warmer than usual autumn temperatures are very likely across the state.

Tasmania

Most of Tasmania is likely to have rainfall in the typical range for autumn.

Average autumn rainfall in recent decades has been between 400 and 800 mm for western Tasmania, while eastern areas typically have between 100 and 300 mm.

Warmer than usual autumn temperatures are very likely across the state.

Northern Territory

Most of the Territory is likely to have rainfall in the typical range for this time of year.

Parts of the east may have below average rainfall.

Average March to May rainfall in recent decades has been between 100 and 600 mm along most of the north, and inland areas have had between 25 and 100 mm.

Warmer than usual temperatures are likely across most of the Territory.

Summer – Preliminary Summary

Summer has been much warmer than usual for most of Australia.

Every state and territory had above-average daytime and night-time temperatures.

Parts of the west and some central areas had their warmest summer on record.

Summer has been wetter than usual for parts of the country's east and north-west.

Conditions have been drier than average across parts of the country's south and central areas and large parts of the Northern Territory.

The national summary for summer and February will be on the Bureau's website from 3 March: News reports and summaries

Detailed summaries for summer and February conditions for each state and capital city will be published on 5 March.

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