Covid Income Supports Effective, Early Super Release Too Broad

e61 Institute

Boosting income support during the Covid-19 pandemic was highly effective at stimulating spending, reducing financial stress and improving wellbeing but the early release of super was not as effective at achieving all three goals, new research by e61 Institute has found.

The analysis of bank transaction data shows people who received the one-off $750 Economic Support Payment (ESP) and the $550 per fortnight JobSeeker Payment Coronavirus Supplement (JSP) spent their relief payments quickly and mostly on withdrawing cash, and essentials such as groceries.

ESP recipients spent 70 per cent of the payment and JSP recipients spent 58 per cent of the extra support over their first fortnight.

Meanwhile, people who participated in the Early Release of Super (ERS) scheme spent 31 per cent of the money they withdrew over the first two weeks.

As part of a submission to the Commonwealth Government COVID-19 Response Inquiry, e61 Institute also analysed the Household, Income and Labour Dynamics in Australia (HILDA) Survey to assess the well-being impact of the financial support measures.

Well-being temporarily improved for JSP recipients while the supplement was in place but the ERS scheme – despite being intended to target those in "financial stress" – did not lead to improvements in financial resilience or well-being, and nor did the ESP.

"Our research suggests that in terms of stimulating spending and improving well-being, the JobSeeker supplement was the most effective economic support payment deployed during the Covid-19 pandemic," said e61 Research Director Dr Gianni La Cava.

"Recipients spent the JSP Supplement and ESP quickly with 20-25 percent of each payment spent on the day it was received, while the ERS was spent more gradually over the first fortnight.

"Notably, ERS had the biggest impact on aggregate spending because it was of larger value, on average.

"The fact the JSP was the only payment to significantly improve recipients' well-being may be because it made up 25 per cent income for its recipients, compared with 19 per cent for the early super release - suggesting it was better targeted at people on lower incomes.

"The limited impact of the early super release scheme on financial resilience or well-being suggests it was too broad.

"If policymakers want to stimulate spending, reduce financial stress and improve well-being during future economic downturns, targeted boosts to income support programs should be part of their toolkit."

Between April and June 2020, e61 estimates that about 4.9 million people received the $750 Economic Support Payment, while 2.5 million received the $550 per fortnight JobSeeker Supplement and 2.4 million applied for early super release with an average $8,223 withdrawn.

The super release scheme - which allowed withdrawals up to $10,000 - created an estimated $6.3 billion of extra spending between April and June 2020 compared with $2.7 billion for the economic support payment and $4.2 billion for the JobSeeker coronavirus supplement.

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