With only days to go in the 2024 general election, the Applied Political Analytics Program (APAN) at the University of Maryland, in partnership with the public opinion firm YouGov , released today the results from an Oct. 23-27, 2024 poll of 500 likely Maryland voters that finds broad support for reproductive freedom, and Angela Alsobrooks (D) with a sizeable lead over former Maryland governor Larry Hogan (R) in the race to fill a U.S. Senate seat.
The poll found that across the state, Kamala Harris (D, 60.9%) holds a 27 percentage-point lead over Donald Trump (R, 33.9%). The data also show Angela Alsobrooks (D, 57.4%) with a ballooning 23 percentage-point lead over Larry Hogan (R, 33.9%), with only 4% of voters remaining undecided.
"That Hogan and Trump share equivalent proportions of support among Maryland voters suggests that Alsobrooks' portrait of Hogan as an extreme Republican has been persuasive in these final weeks," said Rohin Mishra, APAN graduate student and manager of the survey.
As Maryland voters prepare to vote on an amendment to the state constitution that would guarantee the right to reproductive freedom, the poll also found that a strong majority support Amendment 1 by 75% to 17.5%, with 6.3% undecided and 1.2% who say they will not vote on the measure. The amendment's supporters include 43.8% of Republicans in favor.
Overall, a slim majority of voters statewide support "legal and generally available" abortion services (51%) over other policy options that would impose restrictions.
"This poll tells a story of voters who are actually in great agreement on the major contests on their ballot this year," said Mishra. "Despite intense political and social polarization in our country, these results are reflective of a shared vision for Maryland's future."
Respondents to the poll also ranked the Economy (27.4%), Immigration (17.3%) and Abortion (9.2%) as their top issues for the new president to address during this election.
Methodology
This poll was conducted by graduate students in the Applied Political Analytics Program at the University of Maryland in conjunction with YouGov. A sample of 500 Likely Maryland voters was surveyed online between October 23rd and October 27th, 2024. Respondents were selected and weighted to reflect the demographic composition of Maryland's electorate, including variables such as age, gender, and ethnicity. The margin of error is +/- 5.2%.
